NEW YORK: US stocks rallied more than 1% on Tuesday as investors welcomed a fragile truce with Israel and Iran while parsing Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony for clues regarding the US central bank’s path forward.
All three major US stock indices closed with their second straight session of solid gains following US missile strikes on Iran’s uranium enrichment assets.
The Nasdaq 100, a subset of the Nasdaq Composite, nabbed an all-time closing high, while the benchmark S&P 500 closed within striking distance of its all-time closing high reached on February 19.
Late Monday, US President Donald Trump announced a cease-fire agreement, which Israel appeared to have violated. Still, investors viewed the cease-fire rhetoric as a sign of de-escalating tensions.
“The bulls are out of their bucking shoots,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments in New York. “The cease-fire really is adding fire to the stock market rally. We believe investors are wagering that calm in the Middle East is really a boon for stocks even as it weighs down bonds and oil prices.”
Crude prices slid on waning supply concerns related to the conflict, dragging energy shares lower.
Powell, speaking before the US House of Representatives Financial Services Committee, reiterated his view that rate cuts can wait until the economic effects of tariff increases are better known, adding “we are well positioned to wait to learn more about the likely course of the economy before considering any adjustments to our policy stance.”
Financial markets have been pricing in a more than 20% likelihood that the Fed will lower its key interest rate at the conclusion of its July policy meeting, and a near 70% probability that its first rate cut will land in September.
On the economic front, consumer confidence deteriorated this month, with pessimism toward the jobs market falling to its lowest level since March 2021.
“Consumer confidence was down,” Bassuk added. “And as we see these economic data points casting a shadow over the strength of the US economy, it’s another factor pointing toward greater likelihood of Fed rate cuts this year.”
The Commerce Department is expected to release its final take on first-quarter GDP on Thursday, and on Friday its closely watched Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report will shed light on inflation, consumer spending and income growth.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 507.24 points, or 1.19%, to 43,089.02, the S&P 500 gained 67.01 points, or 1.11%, to 6,092.18 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 281.56 points, or 1.43%, to 19,912.53.
Of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, tech shares led the gainers, while energy stocks fared the worst, dropping 1.5%.
Among the “magnificent 7” group of megacap stocks, Tesla underperformed, dropping 2.4%.
Airline stocks gained altitude amid cooling Middle East tensions. The S&P 1500 Airlines index advanced 2.4%.
But defense stocks lost ground. Lockheed Martin dipped 2.6% and RTX Corp fell 2.7%.
Shares of crypto companies rose after bitcoin hit a one-week high. Coinbase Global and Microstrategy advanced 12.1% and 2.7% respectively.
Broadcom touched a record high, after HSBC raised the semiconductor manufacturer to “buy” from “hold”. The stock rose 3.9%.
Package deliverer FedEx dropped more than 4% in extended trading after reporting quarterly results.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.27-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. There were 239 new highs and 56 new lows on the NYSE.
On the Nasdaq, 3,423 stocks rose and 1,046 fell as advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.27-to-1 ratio.
The S&P 500 posted 19 new 52-week highs and no new lows. The Nasdaq Composite recorded 115 new highs and 59 new lows.
Volume on US exchanges was 16.94 billion shares, compared with the 18.12 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days. — Reuters
