Low volumes and mixed sentiment keep market on edge ahead of post-holiday activity.
Bitcoin whales are on the move, withdrawing hundreds of millions in BTC as the market hovers near the critical $100K cost basis. While signs of a rebound are emerging, weak on-chain demand keeps the broader trend uncertain
Whales Make Moves
Bitcoin whales have withdrawn a total of $278.7 million in BTC from BitGo wallets today, according to the comment from prominent investor Ted Pillows.
Such large-scale movements are often interpreted as accumulation, suggesting that institutional or high-net-worth investors may be positioning for potential upside. Yet, despite these notable withdrawals, the broader market shows mixed signals.
On-chain demand remains weak, even with Bitcoin’s price rebounding above $93,000, highlighting that overall investor engagement has yet to fully recover, as per CryptoQuant’s analysts.
Market sentiment remains mixed and trading volumes are low, with little sign of increased on-chain activity. That could change once the holiday period ends and investors return to the market.
$100K Cost Basis Holds the Key
However, Bitcoin is currently trading below the cost basis of coins last moved six to twelve months ago. This cost basis currently sits around $100,000, according to CryptoQuant.
Historically, when the price remains below this level, the broader market structure tends to stay bearish, and downside risk remains elevated.
After weeks of sideways movement, Bitcoin is showing early signs of a rebound. But it still needs to reclaim the six- to twelve-month holder cost basis for the market structure to shift
Why This Matters
The market is at a delicate crossroads. Whale accumulation could be an early signal of renewed momentum, but weak on-chain demand underscores that broader participation has yet to follow.
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