You definitely do not want to hear this, but XRP metrics are declining.
Retail is disappearing from on-chain activity, casting doubt on bullish XRP price predictions.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.60, which is another key support that could fail soon (ouch).
All of this is happening while XRP ETFs have seen mostly positive inflows. However, outflow numbers outweighed constant inflows, leading to a negative January.
XRP active addresses have collapsed to new lows throughout January. The XRP Ledger has hit 15,743 active accounts, which is the lowest level since February of last year.
This signals weakening retail participation or on chain demand. Velocity data confirm this view. Despite some spikes, it failed to keep an uptrend like the one we saw in 2024.
Instead, it remained volatile, which shows that token movement is mostly driven by short-term trading rather than consistent usage by a growing user base.
Open interest in XRP has fallen to roughly $2.9 billion, marking its lowest level in over a year as price continues to trend lower. This just shows a broad, diminished trader confidence.
XRP price is still stuck in a steep descending channel, and the latest move just makes the picture look worse. Price has slid back to the $1.60 area after failing to reclaim resistance near $2.20, which keeps the broader trend clearly bearish.
RSI is down around 28, so XRP is technically oversold and a short-term bounce is possible, but that bounce would likely be corrective unless price can break back above the channel and hold a daily close over $2.20.
If $1.60 fails to hold on a daily close, the chart opens up for a deeper move toward the $1.40 zone, where the next real demand sits.
Until on-chain activity stabilizes and price reclaims broken resistance, any strength in XRP looks like a relief move inside a broader capitulation phase, not the start of a real recovery.
XRP on-chain activity collapsing, open interest bleeding out, and price grinding lower is not just an XRP problem. It is what happens when retail disappears, and speculation dries up.
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