Range-bound, or do we keep pushing lower? I think U.S. tariffs on China are just kicking off – could be the spark for another BTC rally.
1) Biggest upcoming expiry (BTC / ETH)
Deribit monthly / quarterly cluster — Fri Oct 17 @ 08:00 UTC / 10:00 Madrid — largest cross‑venue monthly/quarterly expiry window.
Notional sizing: Based on past months, could reach $10-$20B+ across BTC & ETH combined (historical precedents).
CME (Bitcoin futures options) — Fri Oct 17 @ 15:00 UTC / 17:00 Madrid (to align with CME schedule) per their BTC options calendar.
CME Group
+1
2) Other notable expiries
Bybit weekly (Thu) — Thu Oct 16 @ 08:00 UTC / 10:00 Madrid
OKX / Binance weekly — Fri Oct 17 @ 08:00 UTC / 10:00 Madrid
Daily short‑term options (Deribit / OKX / Binance) — Mon → Thu @ 08:00 UTC / 10:00 Madrid (for gamma flows and rollovers)
3) US High‑Importance Macro Events (Madrid times)
Tue, Oct 14 — CPI (Sep) @ 14:30
Wed, Oct 15 — PPI (Sep) @ 14:30
Thu, Oct 16 — Initial Jobless Claims @ 14:30
Fri, Oct 17 — Core PCE / Personal Income & Spending (Sep) @ 14:30
Fri, Oct 17 — University of Michigan Sentiment (Oct prelim) @ 15:00
Fed / Fed speakers: None of high‑importance (Chair) currently confirmed this week (based on calendar visibility)
