
U.S. airlines prepare for their first spring break as they expect record passenger traffic during the upcoming 2026 travel season,, which continues to experience interruptions from the current government shutdown. The latest forecasts from Airlines for America (A4A) predict that 171 million passengers will travel by air during the spring months which extend from March through April. The current period shows a 4 percent increase in air travel demand throughout the United States when compared to the same time frame in 2025.
With 2.8 million passengers expected to fly per day, U.S. airlines are preparing to operate 26,000 daily flights, providing an astounding 3.5 million seats to accommodate the influx of travellers. However, the surge in travel demand is set against a backdrop of a government shutdown that has raised concerns among both passengers and industry stakeholders.
The increase in passenger numbers reflects a surge in travel demand typically seen during spring break, when families, students, and tourists flock to destinations across the United States. Despite this, the partial government shutdown continues to create uncertainty at airports, as the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is among the agencies affected by the budget impasse. This has raised concerns over potential delays at TSA checkpoints and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) facilities.
The TSA and CBP are integral to the travel experience, ensuring that passengers can move through security and customs smoothly. As the shutdown drags on, confusion has arisen about the availability of trusted traveller programs, such as TSA PreCheck and Global Entry, which are vital for expediting airport processes.
One of the most significant impacts of the government shutdown is the temporary suspension of Global Entry. This trusted traveller program, which allows expedited customs screening for international passengers, was suspended on February 21, 2026, causing concern among frequent flyers who rely on the programme to avoid lengthy delays at the border. While TSA PreCheck has been allowed to remain operational, Global Entry remains inaccessible due to the ongoing funding issues.
The U.S. travel industry has expressed frustration, as Global Entry is funded through user membership fees, not federal funds. Critics argue that there is no reason to suspend the program, especially when it provides significant efficiency benefits, such as saving 300,000 officer hours in 2025 alone. The suspension of Global Entry at a time of heightened spring travel is expected to lead to longer processing times for international travellers returning to the U.S.
With spring break travel already underway, industry leaders are urging lawmakers to resolve the budget standoff quickly and reopen the Global Entry program. According to Chris Sununu, the President and CEO of A4A, Global Entry plays a key role in maintaining efficiency at airports, especially during peak travel seasons like spring break. Sununu also emphasised that the program enhances national security by streamlining the process for low-risk travellers, allowing CBP officers to focus on higher-priority concerns.
Despite the challenges posed by the government shutdown, the travel forecast for spring 2026 remains optimistic. For U.S. airlines, the continued growth in passenger numbers highlights the resilience of the aviation industry and the demand for air travel. While TSA PreCheck will continue to facilitate quicker security screenings for eligible passengers, those relying on Global Entry may face delays if the program remains suspended.
Travellers flying during the busy spring months should plan accordingly, especially if they rely on expedited processing services like Global Entry or TSA PreCheck. The ongoing shutdown underscores the importance of flexibility when travelling, particularly when dealing with changing government policies and unpredictable security procedures.
The 2026 spring break season is set to be a historic one for U.S. airlines, with a projected 171 million passengers flying between March and April. While airlines prepare for a record number of passengers, the ongoing government shutdown presents a significant challenge for both the industry and travellers. The uncertainty surrounding Global Entry and potential TSA delays could impact the smooth flow of passengers through airport security and customs, particularly during the peak spring travel period.
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