As I said about a week ago on a Twitter Spaces that I did with my friend Peter Schiff, I just had the feeling that the run-up in silver and gold was not over yet. I echoed these sentiments while talking to Larry Lepard last week, where we covered all things sound money and markets: Larry Lepard: 2026 Predictions For Bitcoin, Gold, Silver and Stocks
For years, most of you have been reading my blog and watching my podcast, where I have constantly talked about the fact that there would be a “blow-off valve” once too much pressure from money printing built up inside the monetary system. In May 2023 I first memorialized this prediction in this article:
The most likely candidates to “blowoff” are precious metals, in my opinion (and maybe even bitcoin).
I often predicted that this “blow-off valve” would be the consequences of money printing showing up in the prices of gold and silver. After all, the consequences of the dirty deed of money printing have to go somewhere, and other than the precious metals, the only other place it shows up nefariously is through rising consumer prices and a lower quality of life for low- and middle-class Americans.
That valve has blown off. So what do I do now, take profit? Here’s my take.
Let’s run quickly through what I see as the bull and bear case for silver and gold, although I’m long-term bullish on both of them for many years to come, so keep that in mind. Right now, the bull case for silver can be made in a couple of ways.
The first is that something unprecedented is obviously happening, and we may be in the midst of, or heading toward, a historic short squeeze that has often been speculated about by us “conspiracy theorists.” There are so many more ounces of paper silver out there than there are physical that wild whipsaws and distortions can definitely occur in the market. We’re seeing one of those. Who knows where the ceiling is?
That bull case is laid out here in this incredible interview with Andy Schectman: Is Silver At $200 Possible?. Andy argued that forced selling can look like a top, but in his framing it’s more like a circuit breaker that temporarily interrupts a squeeze dynamic by flushing out late, leveraged participants. The key, he says, is that this doesn’t address the underlying physical tightness; it just changes who holds the exposure, transferring it from weak hands to deep pockets.
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