
The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) kicked off the week by climbing to a record high, touching 6,210 points this morning.
Beyond easing fears of large-scale US involvement in Middle East conflicts, market optimism has been driven by:
→ Trade developments: Last week, the US President announced a trade deal with China, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signalled hopes to finalise agreements with over a dozen countries by early September.
→ Strong earnings: On Friday, Nike (NKE) surged over 15% after posting results that beat forecasts, helping lift overall investor sentiment ahead of the earnings season.
Technical Analysis
A review of the 4-hour S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini) shows price action within a clear ascending channel. A recent consolidation area (marked on the chart) illustrates a temporary balance between buyers and sellers, followed by renewed buying momentum driving the index higher.
The rally could continue toward the channel’s upper boundary. However, the RSI indicator is signalling extreme overbought conditions, with Friday’s reading hitting a yearly high. This suggests that a pullback is possible — potentially revisiting the local ascending trendline (highlighted in orange).
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