Historically, Bitcoin has already experienced deep declines even in bull markets, making careful risk management central.
The market remains in a phase of high uncertainty: high volatility, derivative leverage cycles, and regulatory news can amplify movements.
According to major aggregators, such as CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko, prices fluctuate at historically significant levels with rapid intraday variations. In this context, a marked decline would not be out of the ordinary: it can become a resilience test for investors, especially if accompanied by external liquidity shocks.
It should be noted that sentiment remains extremely sensitive to macro data and flows on regulated instruments.
As of September 1, 2025, Bitcoin was trading around $108,415.61 with a 24-hour volume of approximately $19.3 billion and a market capitalization exceeding $2.1 trillion, according to data from CoinDesk.
On-chain analysts also observe a decrease in net flows to exchanges in recent weeks, an indicator that has historically coincided with phases of volatility compression and reduced selling pressure, as highlighted by analyses from Glassnode.
Our editorial desk monitors these indicators daily to assess the likelihood of liquidity shocks and the resilience of key levels.
To evaluate this thesis, it is advisable to cross-reference history, cycles, and market flows.
In summary, a 40% correction falls within the range of Bitcoin’s “physiological” declines, especially during phases of excessive leverage or in the presence of a macroeconomic regime change. An interesting aspect is that the depth does not always coincide with the duration: rebounds can be swift.
Volatility accentuates cognitive biases; without a predetermined plan, it’s easy to sell at the lows and re-enter at higher levels.
Those who adopt a long-term strategy tend to interpret corrections as accumulation opportunities, provided they define clear and sustainable rules in advance at a psychological level. It should be noted that consistency over time is as important as the choice of instrument.
The DCA strategy involves periodic purchases and constant amounts to mitigate the risk associated with market “timing.” For example, investing €200 per week for 26 weeks, regardless of the price, can help maintain discipline in volatile contexts.
For an operational guide on DCA, see our in-depth article How to apply DCA on Bitcoin. In this framework, operational simplicity promotes adherence to the plan.
Setting a target weight (for example, 10% in digital assets) allows you to sell the excess when the share rises to 15% or to buy it back if it falls to 7%, imposing a contrarian discipline and controlling overall risk. In practice, it transforms volatility into a mechanism for systematic rebalancing.
Useful technique for tactical trading, with predefined technical levels or stop-loss limits. However, for long horizons, stops that are too tight can turn volatility into unintentional exits. In this sense, judgment and consistency with the strategy make the difference.
A strategy that involves a “core” portion to hold over time alongside a “satellite” portion for tactical operations.
For example, one might allocate 80% in DCA mode and 20% in more liquid assets ready to exploit potential drawdowns. In this context, long-term goals are separated from more opportunistic choices.
Maintaining a “cushion” in liquidity avoids forced sales during times of stress and reduces decision-making pressure during hectic phases. It is a simple but often overlooked lever.
With a capital of €10,000, a possible strategy involves 60% in liquidity, 30% in core investments in Bitcoin through DCA over 6 months, and the remaining 10% for tactical operations in the presence of drawdown (e.g., -20% or -35%).
A monthly review of rebalancing can help reduce emotional impact and maintain the desired risk profile. In short, simple rules and periodic checks.
Scaramucci sets an ambitious price target, considering it plausible in the medium to long term, while anticipating phases of turbulence and sharp movements. Achieving this will depend on institutional adoption (also through ETFs), regulatory clarity, macroeconomic conditions, and innovation within the crypto ecosystem.
As highlighted by TheStreet, a lot of patience and a truly multi-year horizon will be needed. In other words, it is a scenario, not a promise.
Market experience highlights that premature sales of assets that later proved to be winners have often eroded long-term returns.
Translating this principle to the crypto world, elements such as the quality of the infrastructure, the liquidity of the market, the resilience of the network, and the ability to adhere to a strategy during critical moments play a central role. An interesting aspect is consistency: more than market timing, discipline in execution matters.
Historical trend of the main Bitcoin drawdowns. Source: CoinMarketCap/TradingView; updated September 1, 2025.
Disclaimer: this content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing always involves risk; do not invest amounts you cannot afford to lose.
