The prediction markets at Robinhood now present a 14% chance of Bitcoin reaching the $150,000 milestone before June 2026.
While Bitcoin (BTC) saw five consecutive days of consistent upward push at the start of January, soaring by over 7% within this period, it still failed to recover the pivotal $100,000 psychological price mark. After hitting a two-month peak of $94,792 on Jan. 5, BTC met intense resistance and has since continued to correct.
Amid this correction, Bitcoin has now relinquished the $90,000 support, down 5.4% from the $94K high. This has dealt a blow to the asset’s $150,000 dream, which market participants began eyeing as the next target shortly after Bitcoin hit the $100,000 milestone for the first time on Dec. 5, 2024.
Now, the prediction markets at Robinhood give the premier crypto asset a 14% chance of reaching a new all-time high at $150,000 before June 2026. Robinhood took to X today to call attention to this new development.
For context, the current odds represent a massive decline, as optimism around Bitcoin has continued to wane on the back of recent price realities. Specifically, as of Oct. 7, 2025, a day after BTC claimed its latest all-time high of $126,272, the chances of the firstborn crypto reaching $150,000 before June 2026 stood at 63%.
Notably, from the $126,000 price level, Bitcoin only needed a 19% increase to claim $150,000, bolstering optimism among investors. However, as BTC entered the downward trend that defined most of Q4 2026, the odds began to drop, as confidence crashed.
By the start of November 2025, the odds stood at 45%. However, as the decline persisted, the chances dropped to 27% at the end of that month, aligning with a further correction in Bitcoin’s price to the $90,000 price level.
While the market began 2026 with a 13% chance, it has continued to fluctuate between 12% and 16% since then, now stabilizing at 14%. Meanwhile, Robinhood gives a 9% chance that Bitcoin could hit $150,000 before May 2026, a 4% chance of claiming the milestone before April 2026, and a 2% chance before February 2026.
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