
A recent Republikon Institute survey suggests that the gap between Hungary’s ruling Fidesz-KDNP coalition and the opposition Tisza Party is shrinking, although changes remain within the poll’s margin of error.
According to the August survey, the Tisza Party leads the overall population by 4 percentage points, down from 5 points in July and 6 points in early July, HVG writes. Among likely voters, the lead is slightly higher, with the Tisza Party ahead by 5 to 6 points. The poll, conducted via phone interviews with 1,000 participants between 21 and 27 August, is representative of Hungary’s adult population in terms of gender, age, education, and settlement type, with a margin of error of ±3.5%.
The survey indicates that the ruling parties continue to dominate political discourse, and their supporters are slightly more active compared to early summer. As in previous months, five parties would surpass the 5% electoral threshold to enter parliament, including Mi Hazánk, the Democratic Coalition (DK), and the Two-Tailed Dog Party (Kétfarkú Kutya Párt).
Support for Fidesz among certain voters edged up from 34% in July to 35% in August, while Tisza’s support dropped from 43% to 41%: changes still within the margin of error. Meanwhile, the proportion of undecided voters decreased by three percentage points to 24%, and an additional 2% of respondents said they would vote for parties not included in the survey.
Two weeks prior, the IDEA Institute published a similar poll indicating that the Tisza Party’s lead over Fidesz had halved. Tisza Party leader Magyar Péter responded, claiming that internal data shows a 10-point lead over the ruling coalition among the entire population, which could translate into a two-thirds parliamentary majority.
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