As always, I’m sharing my personal thoughts on what I expect from Bitcoin in the next few days. This is not financial advice just my outlook based on technicals, volume zones, and market behavior.
CME Bitcoin futures closed Friday at $105,715. Historically, CME gaps often get filled. So unless we see new geopolitical escalation between Israel vs. Iran on Sunday, I expect a fake pump on Monday toward the $108,500-$108,600 area.
That would be:
A 0.705 Fibonacci retracement from the recent low
A typical Monday move to trap shorts and create early bullish euphoria
Midweek Expectation: Dump to 4H FVG
After the fake move up, I’m anticipating a strong retracement down toward the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the $98,632 – $97,378 region. This area:
Contains heavy previous volume zones
Aligns with Previous Day Low, Previous Week Low
Holds multiple imbalances still unfilled
If the market receives negative news or sentiment breaks down quickly, I wouldn’t be surprised to see an even deeper move into the next 4H imbalance at $96,167 – $95,080.
Below that? There’s still a massive amount of untouched liquidity, including the Previous Month Low $93,322.
My Macro View: Scenario of Maximum Pain
I think the bottom of this Bitcoin correction will land somewhere around $87,300 – $86,000.. Why?
This would be a scenario of maximum pain
It’s a level where most investors will capitulate, especially in altcoins
If BTC goes that low, panic selling will trigger across the board
And ironically, this is how altcoin seasons always begin from disbelief.
Stay focused, stay safe. The volatility this week will be high, and smart positioning is key.
