Bitcoin [BTC] drifted without conviction, and the market felt directionless. BTC continued ranging, offering no decisive short-term signal. Therefore, altcoins underperformed, trapped in hesitation.
This broader stagnation amplified XRP’s inflow shock. In a weak environment, large transfers carried a heavier psychological weight. So the obvious question emerged: Were whales front-running another leg down?
According to CryptoQuant data shared by darkforst, large holder activity spiked sharply. More than 31 million XRP entered Binance in a single day. That equaled nearly $45 million in potential sell pressure.
Notably, wallets holding 100K-1M and over 1M XRP led the surge. The largest cohort alone transferred over 14 million XRP. Therefore, short-term downside risk intensified immediately.
However, XRP Taker Buy Dominance did not collapse under pressure. Green bars dominated most trading days, signaling aggressive market buyers. That meant real spot demand, not passive liquidity games.
Between February 10 and 16, the market entered a short neutral phase. Gray bars indicated absorption rather than exhaustion. After this stretch, buying dominance returned, slightly cooler than in late January, but still firm.
Bitcoin’s inability to find a stable floor kept risk elevated. Failure to reclaim structure limited confidence across the board. Therefore, XRP remained exposed to another sharp downside sweep.
EGRAG Crypto focused on a repeating Exponential Moving Average structure. The analyst argued that one specific EMA had historically acted as a cycle trigger. In prior cycles, XRP dipped toward that EMA before explosive expansions followed.
In particular, he pointed to a structural rhythm. When the price broke below that EMA, the bias shifted bearish. However, when the price reclaimed it decisively, the macro trend resumed upward.
Based on this pattern, he suggested a potential revisit of $0.78. That level aligned with the projected EMA touchpoint in the current cycle. As a result, his thesis was not emotional; it was structural.
His stance was blunt: structure over noise. In the short term, breaks mattered. Long term, he remained permabull, expecting expansion once structure reclaimed.
