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Reading: Linea’s price retests support as the market prepares for a $26M token unlock
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Research & AnalysisMarket Analysis

Linea’s price retests support as the market prepares for a $26M token unlock

rahulbadiyafad150c105
Last updated: October 10, 2025 4:51 pm
rahulbadiyafad150c105
Published: 6 months ago
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Linea traded at $0.02481 at press time, marking a 2.3% drop over the past 24 hours and a 4.5% decline over the past week. The token has fluctuated within a seven-day range of $0.02459 to $0.02957, currently sitting about 46% below its all-time high of $0.04667, reached on Sept. 10.

Contents
  • $27.5M LINEA Token Unlock Could Challenge Market Sentiment
  • Technical Outlook: Short-Term Weakness Persists

Despite weakening price momentum, market activity has picked up. Linea’s 24-hour spot trading volume climbed 11.5% to $130.02 million, suggesting stronger participation from short-term traders.

Data from CoinGlass shows open interest fell 3.58% to $137.85 million, while derivatives volume rose 7.76%, indicating some leveraged positions are being closed. Rising volume alongside declining open interest often points to profit-taking or risk reduction ahead of a major event.

$27.5M LINEA Token Unlock Could Challenge Market Sentiment

On Oct. 10, approximately 1.08 billion Linea tokens—valued at around $27.54 million—will be unlocked, according to Tokenomist. This unlock represents 6.57% of the circulating supply, with only 22.83% of total tokens released so far under Linea’s gradual vesting schedule.

Large unlocks often introduce short-term selling pressure as early holders gain liquidity. However, Linea’s fundamentals remain resilient, supported by a growing DeFi ecosystem.

The network’s total value locked (TVL) has climbed to $1.49 billion, despite volatility following July’s Token Generation Event—reflecting sustained on-chain activity. Linea also benefits from tight integration with Ethereum, allocating 85% of its supply to ecosystem expansion and excluding insider allocations.

Institutional interest is also expanding: SWIFT is testing Linea for blockchain-based interbank messaging, while SharpLink plans to deploy roughly $3.6 billion in Ethereum treasuries on the network.

Linea’s upcoming native yield mechanism and Ignition rewards program—which will distribute over $30 million in incentives through November—are expected to bolster liquidity and attract new users.

Technical Outlook: Short-Term Weakness Persists

On the 1-hour chart, Linea shows short-term bearishness, trading slightly below its 20-hour simple moving average at $0.02515. Bollinger Bands are tightening, often signaling an imminent volatility breakout. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum for now.

The Momentum indicator is flashing a mild buy signal, suggesting that downward pressure may be easing near support levels. However, most moving averages remain bearish, indicating that sellers still have the upper hand. Resistance sits near $0.0268, while immediate support is around $0.0240.

If buying volume strengthens and Linea breaks above the $0.0258–$0.0268 resistance range, a short-term rebound toward $0.0280 could follow. Conversely, if market sentiment weakens and the token unlock increases selling pressure, a decisive close below $0.0240 could open the door to further losses, potentially pushing prices down to $0.0235 or even $0.0228.

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