Competition intensifies as former chief of Domino’s says days of ‘massive growth’ are over
Express, Franco Manca, Domino’s and Goodfella’s dominating the market – but is its popularity starting to cool? Domino’s Pizza Group announced this week that its chief executive of two years had stepped down with immediate effect, less than two weeks after he appeared to suggest the UK may be approaching “peak pizza”.
told the Financial TimesGiven the fast-growing demand for fried chicken, he said it was “pretty obvious” the group should broaden its menu. Rennie’s calculations are borne out by the shrinking presence of pizza restaurants on UK high streets after a period of rapid expansion more than a decade ago.Photograph: Iuliia Bondar/Getty Images The number of chain pizza restaurants has fallen from 5,000 in 2015 to 3,750 today, according to the restaurant analysts CGA, with companies such as Pizza Express, Pizza Hut and Papa Johns closing outlets in recent years.of 68 restaurants a month ago, after the company behind its UK venues fell into administration. Trish Caddy, the associate director of food service research at the market analysis company Mintel, says: “Pizza remains a cornerstone of UK fast food, with usage holding steady at around 45% of consumers from 2023 to 2025.” But she says this stability contrasts with chicken shops, which have edged up from 37% usage in 2023 to 39% in 2025. “On the surface, this two-point rise looks modest, but the underlying dynamics tell a bigger story: among gen Z, chicken shop usage hits 52%, almost matching pizza outlets at 56%.” She says the momentum behind chicken shops is being bolstered by aggressive expansion. The US-founded Popeyes chain has grown from 32 UK sites in 2023 to more than 80 in 2025, while its long-established rival”These brands tap into trends for high-protein diets and bold, spicy flavours, offering globally inspired menus that resonate with younger consumers,” Caddy says. Reuben Pullan, an analyst at CGA, adds that there is “so much more consumer choice – and more brands competing for the same amount of money”, putting pizza restaurants under pressure. It’s not only chicken shops – the rise of Asian-inspired chains such as Dishoom, Sticks’n’Sushi, Giggling Squid and Pho have also eaten into pizza’s market share. Caddy says pizza chains also face competition from supermarkets, which have upgraded their chilled and frozen ranges.Photograph: Yanice Idir/Alamy Meanwhile, apps such as Deliveroo, Just Eat and Uber Eats have enabled many more restaurants to enter the home-delivery market. Total sales in the food and beverage hospitality industry are up 3% – just about keeping pace with inflation – but that includes a 1% rise for restaurants and a spectacular 18% rise for takeaway, according to CGA’s hospitality tracker of some of the UK’s top chains. Caddy says: “Delivery apps make restaurant pizza more accessible than ever, reducing effort for consumers who want convenience without cooking. For many households, fast food is a treat and a time-saver. “Sometimes even heating a frozen pizza feels like effort compared to ordering in. This convenience factor keeps both pizza restaurants relevant, but it also means operators must fight for share in a crowded market.”He says the market has continued to grow, led by takeaways and the rise of more upmarket operators on high streets such as Franco Manca, Pizza Pilgrims, Yard Sale Pizza and Rudy’s. Sales via pizza restaurants have risen from £1.3bn in 2015 to about £2.3bn in 2024, growing every single year, even during the Covid pandemic, according to research from the industry consultant Peter Backman. He expects the market to keep expanding as pizza chains “embrace delivery in ways other sectors haven’t” and capitalise on comparatively low ingredient costs, which support healthy margins.Photograph: d3sign/Getty Images “They offer good value and good fun. Pizza is so flexible you can stick a steak on top and still call it pizza,” Backman says. While some households are swapping takeaways for supermarket pizza to save money, others are switching from restaurants to takeaways for the same reason. Domino’s has added nearly 500 outlets in the past decade, taking its total to about 1,400. Jack at Peel Hunt says tougher trading conditions, coupled with consumer demand for digital ordering and fast delivery, have bolstered large chains as smaller independents have struggled. He attributes the slower pace of growth for Domino’s and other delivery firms this year to a warm summer – when there is less appetite for ordering in – and the absence of a major men’s football tournament, typically a big driver of sofa dining. Franchisees have also been holding back on expansion, Jack says, as they battle higher costs from the government’s increase on employers’ national insurance. He says these pressures have created a sharply split market, with larger, well-resourced players thriving while smaller operators struggle to keep up. “There is no evidence people are going to give up eating pizza,” Jack says. “There is polarisation, not the entire market going down.”
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