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Reading: Is Bitcoin Hitting a Cycle Top? Metrics Say ‘Not Yet’
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Crypto News

Is Bitcoin Hitting a Cycle Top? Metrics Say ‘Not Yet’

Last updated: September 2, 2025 5:20 am
Published: 6 months ago
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Despite recent BTC corrections, strong ETF inflows and steady miner reserves suggest growth potential remains.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) may have dropped in value lately; however, despite recent price corrections, strong institutional demand and supportive on-chain metrics indicate that the crypto market is not at a cycle top and has potential for further growth.

Despite recent price fluctuations, institutional demand for cryptocurrency remains robust, with both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) seeing renewed inflows via U.S. spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Market analysts suggest that the flows signal continued confidence in digital assets, even as BTC undergoes a minor correction.

Data from Glassnode shows that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of 3,018 BTC last week, reversing a brief period of outflows and providing fresh support for the benchmark cryptocurrency, which has traded near $108,000.

Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs drew in 286,000 ETH, marking one of the largest weekly inflows since launch, even as ETH closed the week near $4,400.

On-chain data suggests these flows reflect real accumulation rather than short-term speculation. Bitcoin reserves on exchanges have remained stable, whereas Ethereum reserves continue to decline, pointing to stronger demand for ETH.

“Divergence suggests stronger demand for Ethereum compared to Bitcoin, indicating that market participants are actively accumulating ETH even during the current price consolidation,” CryptoQuant has reported.

Not a Cycle Top Yet

Bitcoin metrics, however, suggest that the current price pullback is part of a healthy market cycle rather than a top, claims CryptoQuant’s analyst Carmelo Alemán.

According to his latest report, indicators such as the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) and Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) remain below levels historically associated with market peaks.

Miner reserves are steady at 1.805 million BTC, with minimal selling so far this year. Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) readings confirm the market is not overvalued.

“Altogether, these metrics indicate that, although Bitcoin is undergoing a correction, there is still potential for growth if demand holds,” CryptoQuant analysts noted.

Why This Matters

The combined evidence of ETF inflows, ETH accumulation, and stable BTC fundamentals underscores ongoing institutional confidence. Short-term volatility appears to be a normal market adjustment, not a peak, suggesting that cryptocurrencies continue to attract professional investors and may have room to grow.

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