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Reading: Indian Analyst Admits Indian Army Cannot Sustain Prolonged War Against Pakistan
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Government Policies

Indian Analyst Admits Indian Army Cannot Sustain Prolonged War Against Pakistan

Last updated: January 12, 2026 6:30 pm
Published: 9 hours ago
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ISLAMABAD: A controversial statement attributed to Indian political analyst Nishant Verma has ignited intense discussions across South Asia, with claims suggesting significant vulnerabilities in the Indian armed forces following the brief but intense military confrontation with Pakistan in May 2025. Verma, described in various online platforms as the son of an Indian Air Force officer and a frequent critic of government policies, allegedly highlighted shortages in aircraft, modern weaponry, inability to sustain prolonged warfare, heavy losses, plummeted morale, and unpreparedness for future conflicts. These remarks, widely circulated in Urdu and Pakistani media circles, portray a stark admission of strategic setbacks.

The alleged revelations gain particular weight against the backdrop of Operation Sindoor, launched by India on May 7, 2025, in response to the Pahalgam terrorist attack that killed 26 civilians in Jammu and Kashmir. Indian forces conducted precision strikes on alleged terrorist infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir, targeting groups like Jaish-e-Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Taiba. Official Indian accounts describe the operation as a calibrated success, destroying multiple terror camps with minimal collateral damage and demonstrating tri-service coordination, advanced air defence systems like the S-400, and technological self-reliance in drones and electronic warfare.

However, the short four-day escalation involved large-scale aerial engagements, with reports indicating over 114 aircraft from both sides participating in beyond-visual-range combat, marking one of the largest such operations in recent history. Independent assessments note that India acknowledged initial losses, including combat aircraft, while claiming destruction of several Pakistani jets and infrastructure. The conflict ended with a ceasefire on May 10, 2025, brokered amid international pressure and mutual recognition of nuclear risks, leaving both militaries to claim strategic gains without decisive victory.

Nishant Verma has been known for his outspoken criticism of the Indian government, particularly on issues related to military management, nationalism, and political interference in defence affairs. Videos and interviews from late 2025 feature him discussing how prolonged emphasis on political narratives may have undermined operational readiness and equipment modernization. While the exact quoted Urdu phrases about the army being “very weak,” facing shortages, and suffering morale collapse do not appear in verifiable mainstream sources, they align with his broader pattern of highlighting perceived deficiencies in India’s defence posture.

Defence experts point to data from global assessments, such as those from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, indicating that the Indian Air Force operated with around 29 combat squadrons against a sanctioned strength of 42 as of late 2025, reflecting longstanding squadron shortages. Post-conflict analyses, including from think tanks like the Carnegie Endowment, emphasize lessons on precision strikes, the role of short-duration operations under nuclear thresholds, and the need for enhanced preparedness against evolving threats, including potential Chinese involvement in future scenarios.

The circulation of such claims in Pakistani media serves to boost national morale while questioning the narrative of Indian dominance projected after Operation Sindoor. Indian official statements, conversely, underscore the operation as a milestone in counter-terrorism doctrine, with enhanced deterrence and visible punitive action against state-sponsored threats. The Ministry of Defence’s year-end review for 2025 highlighted achievements in self-reliance, record production, and the unmatched precision of the armed forces during the episode.

Amid ongoing regional tensions, including water disputes and diplomatic manoeuvring, these alleged admissions underscore the fragility of public perceptions in bilateral relations. Both sides continue to invest heavily in military modernization, with India focusing on indigenous platforms and Pakistan strengthening alliances for advanced capabilities. The episode illustrates how individual voices, even from opposition figures, can amplify narratives in an information-saturated environment, influencing public opinion far beyond military realities.

Ultimately, the true impact of the 2025 confrontation lies in its demonstration of limited war possibilities under nuclear deterrence, where neither side achieved overwhelming superiority. Sustained dialogue and confidence-building measures remain essential to prevent future escalations, as short, intense conflicts carry high risks of miscalculation.

Read more on Times of Islamabad

This news is powered by Times of Islamabad Times of Islamabad

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