Crypto speculators on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket are placing bold bets on the trajectory of top digital assets this July, with Bitcoin leading the way.
According to market data from the platform, the most favored outcome is that Bitcoin will reach $115,000 by the end of the month, with traders assigning that level a 50% chance of materializing. This scenario has drawn over $330,000 in volume. More ambitious forecasts — including $120K and beyond — have far slimmer odds, with $120K rated at 26% and $130K at just 7%. A $200K target barely registers, with less than 1% likelihood.
Ethereum is expected to remain more subdued, with most bets backing a move to $2,700, which has attracted the highest confidence at 60%. The chances of ETH hitting $2,900 stand at 34%, while a push to $4,000 is viewed as highly unlikely, sitting at just 1%.
Solana bulls are similarly grounded, with $160 considered the most realistic upside at 63%. Higher targets like $180 or $250 drop off quickly in probability, with just 3% believing the latter could be reached. Still, a fallback to $140 or $130 has been assigned higher likelihoods, hinting at some caution among traders.
XRP traders are mostly concentrated around the $2.40 mark, seen as the most probable outcome at 65%. Estimates for a surge to $4.00 are rare, with only a 2% chance based on current sentiment.
The predictions reflect both optimism and restraint as July unfolds — with bullish enthusiasm tempered by macro uncertainty and cautious capital rotation in the market.
