According to Glassnode analysis, XRP’s SOPR (Socially Obtained Price Percentage) has dropped from 1.16 in July last year to 0.96.
Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins experienced a major crash last week. Bitcoin fell to $60,000, while altcoins also suffered significant losses.
Ethereum (ETH) fell below $2,000, while Solana (SOL) dropped to around $70 and XRP to $1.1.
A recent analysis by Glassnode indicates that XRP holders have fallen below their average cost basis, stop-loss sales have spread, and actual losses have increased.
At this point, on-chain indicators reveal that the losses in XRP are widening and reinforcing the downtrend.
According to Glassnode’s latest analysis, XRP’s 7-day EMA for the ratio of profit to spent output (SOPR) has recently fallen to 0.96 from 1.16 in July of last year.
This doesn’t paint a positive picture for XRP. A SOPR value below 1 indicates that market participants are selling at a loss rather than taking profits.
At this point, Glassnode stated that this pattern resembles the early stages of past bear markets.
Glassnode also added that, according to the data, the SOPR fell below 1 during the correction between September 2021 and May 2022, followed by a prolonged decline.
Glassnode stated that the drop in XRP was not just a short-term pullback, but a significant one.
This decline is noteworthy because it represents a move towards a psychologically significant stop-loss zone, triggered by XRP falling below its average purchase price.
According to Glassnode, if the percentage of investors experiencing losses increases, the likelihood of further selling pressure also increases.
Glassnode concludes that on-chain data has yet to show a clear signal of large-scale accumulation. As a result, the outlook for XRP suggests a potential continuation of a volatile downtrend in the near term.
“If the SOPR ratio in XRP remains below 1 for some time, the risk of further selling pressure may increase, and the price may enter a structural correction phase.”
Whether the trend will reverse will depend on whether selling pressure eases while prices remain in the investors’ loss zone.
