Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, after exiting a prior Upward channel, the price action has entered a large consolidation phase. This has created a well-defined trading range between the major Support zone around the 1.1470 level and the key Resistance Zone up to the 1.1745 area, indicating a period of market balance.
Currently, the price is coiling within a large pennant formation, a classic sign of contracting volatility before a significant move. The price is now at a critical point, testing the descending resistance line of this pennant, which also aligns with the major horizontal Resistance at the 1.1710 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this pennant is a bullish continuation pattern, where buyers are absorbing supply before attempting the next leg higher. I’m anticipating a brief corrective dip from the current position before the main move begins. Following this, I expect buyers to take the initiative and push the price upwards, forcing a breakout above both the pennant’s resistance line and the horizontal 1.1710 Resistance level.
A successful break and hold above the Resistance Zone would validate the long scenario. The primary target for this breakout move is 1.1820 points, representing a logical next objective for an upward expansion.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
