Bitcoin’s grip on the crypto market did not loosen much in 2025, even as a few altcoins posted bursts of strength. CoinMarketCap data showed BTC never fell below its Jan. 5 yearly-low dominance of 55.5%, a sign traders largely stayed put instead of rotating hard into smaller tokens. Glassnode described the last three months as “a market environment where capital concentration favors BTC.”
That backdrop sets up the big question for 2026: if an “altseason” finally arrives, can the majors — ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL and DOGE — lead it, or will overhead supply keep rallies choppy?
Ether broke above $4,868 in August, then reversed, leaving traders with a bull trap. Price has slipped below the 50-week SMA ($3,070) and keeps running into sellers near the 20-week EMA ($3,454). Support sits at $2,623; a break could open a drop toward $2,111 and $1,600, with buyers expected to defend $1,600-$1,385. A weekly break and close above the 20-week EMA would be a first signal that bears are losing control, putting $4,000 and $4,956 back in view.
BNB, meanwhile, has been stuck between its moving averages, signaling balance. A break below the 50-week SMA ($775) could drag it to $500, with the $400-$500 zone framed as key support. A move above the 20-week EMA would shift momentum toward $1,182 and then $1,375.
XRP nears $1.61 support as bulls try to regain control in 2026. XRP is sliding toward $1.61. A bounce may still face heavy selling at the 20-week EMA ($2.38). If $1.61 fails, $1.25 and $1 come into play; a reclaim of the 20-week EMA would bring $3 and the $3.66 ceiling into focus, with $5.19 above.
Solana is leaning on $95; a breakdown could target $80 and $50. A move back above the moving averages would hint at a $95-$260 range, with $425 possible after a close above $260.
Dogecoin is testing $0.13. If it loses that floor, $0.09 is next. Bulls need to reclaim the moving averages; a break above $0.29 could accelerate toward $0.48.
