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CoinGecko Researchers Observe Zero Correlation Between Bitcoin and S&P 500 | ForkLog

Last updated: October 16, 2025 8:20 pm
Published: 6 months ago
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In the third quarter, the price of the leading cryptocurrency demonstrated independence from the movements of the American stock market, according to a CoinGecko report.

Analysts recorded a decrease in the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index from 0.9 to zero. Meanwhile, other digital assets maintained a moderately high dependence on the stock index — 0.68 compared to the previous 0.88.

Overall market volatility decreased significantly: the annual S&P 500 index fell from 30.7% to 10.6%, while Bitcoin’s dropped from 42.1% to 29.2%.

Meanwhile, the statistical relationship between the leading cryptocurrency and gold reached peak levels. On October 14, the indicator approached a historical high of 0.9, amid a new price record for the precious metal at $4179.48 per ounce.

Experts note that this indicates a growing interest among investors in the asset as a reliable store of value.

The correlation between Bitcoin and the overall crypto market weakened, with the indicator falling from 0.99 to 0.64. CoinGecko specialists attributed this to the leading dynamics of altcoins, which significantly outperformed digital gold in growth rates in the third quarter.

“A structural divergence is observed: while Bitcoin shows independent dynamics, altcoins and other crypto assets remain heavily dependent on positive sentiment in the US stock market,” they added.

For comparison, Ethereum and BNB rose by 67% and 54% respectively, while Bitcoin increased by only 6.4%. The price of XRP rose by 27%, and Solana by 35%.

The growth rate of the leading cryptocurrency lagged behind gold, which rose by 15.6%, as well as the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices, which grew by 12.2% and 7.9% respectively.

Analysts noted positive dynamics: the average daily trading volume of Bitcoin increased by 28.4% to reach $41.1 billion, breaking the trend of declining activity observed in the first two quarters.

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