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Reading: Cardano Alarm: Last Time This Happened, ADA Plunged 81%
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Crypto News

Cardano Alarm: Last Time This Happened, ADA Plunged 81%

Last updated: December 23, 2025 6:15 am
Published: 4 months ago
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Cardano’s upward move is stalled due to large investors still taking profits, but one key metric flips bullish.

Prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez is drawing parallels to Cardano’s (ADA) current market structure with the 81% downturn earlier for one simple reason. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) trend-line has just crossed over to the bearish zone.

Last time that occurred, Cardano’s (ADA) price slumped by 81%, while the current market dip has already manifested itself in a 32% pull-back. Mostly driven by Bitcoin’s (BTC) dip to $85K, but not just that. Are other key on-chain stats falling in place with this dim theory?

Mostly Bearish, But One Key Metric Favors ADA

The Exponential Moving Average (EMA), another key trend-line, was positioned at $0.38, just fractions below the current ADA price. Bull Bear Power (BBP), a crucial indicator of the current sentiment, has also hovered slightly in bearish territory.

For Cardano bulls, ADA’s rebound probability mostly relies on the success of Midnight (NIGHT), an alternative Cardano ecosystem token. Midnight’s side-chain was launched just a couple of weeks ago, blasting the self-titled altcoin beyond 200%.

Cardano whales, the largest investors with balances beyond $1 million, aren’t convinced of an immediate Cardano price rebound – marked with the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) still dwelling in negative territory. However, there’s one positive sign.

The Stochastic Relative Strength Index (StochRSI) is in massively oversold territory, implying that the OG altcoin is under-valued against market peers. Dropping gradually from the $0.90 price tag since mid September, Cardano’s $0.37 support could take shape in a Cardano bull run if big-time investor buying appetite returns.

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