🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel .
✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 After breaking out of the descending channel and confirming the long setup I explained in the previous post, Bitcoin moved upward and easily broke through its Maker-buyer zone.
🔍 Over the past two market-holiday days, Bitcoin consolidated in a multi-timeframe accumulation phase with a ceiling at $107,356, which was easily breached. The price then advanced toward its higher-level key resistances. It’s now trading between $110,500 and $113,000 — the $113,000 zone is our long trigger since price has struggled there multiple times before. This makes it a bit risky, but if the upward movement continues, the next resistances could be at $115,800 and $120,836.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it has comfortably passed the 50 level on the 4-hour chart and is now heading toward the overbought zone, facing a key resistance at 70. This 70 level overlaps with the 50 zone on the daily timeframe, meaning that if RSI enters overbought on the 4-hour, the daily will just be shifting from a bearish swing phase to a long-position momentum phase — so the 70 zone is crucial.
🕯 If you check the lower-volume section of the chart, you’ll notice something interesting: the breakout above the two-day accumulation range came with a clear rise in buy volume, which helped Bitcoin easily break both the resistance area and the descending trendline (the upper boundary of the previous channel). This suggests Bitcoin may soon take a volume or price correction to gain more strength for another upward move.
⏰ During today’s New York session, we might see some strong moves. Remember last week when U.S. investors were selling off their ETF holdings, and the market was hesitant to buy? That fear caused weak participation. This time, we may have a reason to stay active during New York hours as sentiment shifts.
🧠 Here are the two key scenarios to watch:
🟢 Long Position Scenario
Wait for Bitcoin to react either to the micro-buyer zone or to the $113,000 area. If we see a pullback followed by an indecision candle (confirmation setup) touching the SMA-7, that’s our entry cue — ideally with a tighter stop size.
🔴 Short Position Scenario
Ignore shorts for now. Bitcoin already completed its second downward wave with an imbalanced slope, and over the last two days, seller momentum has weakened. Buyers are now driving price through resistance levels, so shorting here would go against the current flow.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
