Future Bitcoin direction depends on liquidity, institutional demands, and market sentiments rather than cycle timing.
Bitcoin’s price action often follows a 4-year cycle linked to the halving, which reduces the reward that miners receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain. In April 2024, the latest halving brought the block reward down from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
In previous cycles, this sharp drop in new supply came before strong bull markets. Many investors treated it as a clock that signaled when prices could rise. Over time, this belief has turned into a widely accepted market narrative. However, price actions after the 2024 halving did not completely match the previous patterns.
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