Main Highlights:
- itcoin recovers from a 5.5% decline following the latest flare-up in the Israel-Iran conflict, echoing a similar pattern observed in October 2024.
- Analysts point to a bullish fractal pattern marked by liquidity grabs, indicating Bitcoin may be poised for a breakout to new highs.
- Favorable macro conditions and growing whale accumulation strengthen the case for a potential Bitcoin rally to $150,000 or beyond in 2025.
Bitcoin is showing signs of bullish rejection, shaking off recent selling pressure triggered by renewed Israel-Iran tensions—a setup that closely resembles the one that preceded an 80% rally in late 2024.
Bitcoin Bulls Hold the Line on 2024 Trendline Support
On June 13, Bitcoin bounced back from a low near $102,800 after dropping 5.5% in reaction to Israel’s airstrikes on Iranian targets. It later recouped some of its losses, climbing above $105,500.
The rebound coincides with a successful retest of Bitcoin’s 50-day simple moving average (50-day SMA; red wave), a historically reliable support level. This price action closely resembles Bitcoin’s behavior in October 2024, when it dropped 8.8% following Iran’s missile barrage on Israel.
Certainly! Here’s a refined version of your paragraph:
“That downturn also found support at the 50-day SMA, with Bitcoin bottoming near $60,500. What followed was a swift rebound, as BTC surged over 80% by December, peaking around $108,365.
A study by Andre Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise’s ETP division ETC Group, reveals that while Bitcoin often experiences short-term declines during periods of geopolitical tension, it consistently stages a recovery.
On average, BTC rebounds within 50 days and frequently exceeds its pre-crisis price levels—highlighting the cryptocurrency’s resilience amid global uncertainty.”
Let me know if you’d like it shortened or styled for a specific format (e.g., newsletter, report, blog).
The current pullback may ultimately be just a temporary pause in Bitcoin’s broader uptrend, particularly amid a wave of encouraging developments.
These include growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and signs of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
On-chain data also points to renewed whale accumulation, indicating that large investors are capitalizing on price dips.
Bitcoin Poised for a ‘Liquidity Grab’ Triggering Major Price Surge
Market analyst Merlijn The Trader highlights a developing fractal pattern fueled by “liquidity grabs” among traders.
His side-by-side chart analysis reveals Bitcoin showing signs of breaking above a descending trendline and “range high” resistance—mirroring the setup that preceded its surge past $100,000 following the Israel-Iran conflict in late 2024.
“Same structure. Same trap. Same breakout,” the analyst wrote, adding:
“In 2024, $BTC exploded after the liquidity grab. In 2025, it’s setting up again.”
Many analysts anticipate Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs in 2025, with year-end forecasts ranging from $150,000 to over $200,000.
However, a more cautious outlook suggests the uptrend may have already peaked around its current record high of $112,000.
