Target rate probabilities for the October Fed meeting. Source: CME
The US dollar has weakened in response. US stock futures, on the other hand, edged higher on Monday, mirroring Bitcoin’s 2.40% rebound. The synchronized move underscores traders’ positioning for volatility by rotating into equities, crypto, and other high-beta plays.
Regulatory uncertainty is now elevated. A shutdown would hamper the operations of agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), potentially delaying approvals, filings, and enforcement actions.
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