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Reading: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP eye recovery amid inflation risks
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Smart Contracts

Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP eye recovery amid inflation risks

Last updated: August 16, 2025 10:35 am
Published: 6 months ago
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XRP flaunts a low but positive funding rate, which is likely to boost risk appetite.

Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting a recovery toward the pivotal $120,000 level, trading above $119,000 on Friday. The sell-off spread in the broader cryptocurrency market on Thursday occurred after July’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in hotter than expected, casting doubts on the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting rates in September.

Altcoins also sold off, with Ethereum (ETH) approaching support at $4,455 before bouncing back above $4,600. Still, interest in the largest smart contracts token remains elevated, evidenced by steady spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) inflows.

As for Ripple (XRP), the token showcases recovery signals in the daily time frame, trading at around $3.10.

“Following the PPI release, Bitcoin fell more than 2% and Ethereum also declined, as traders reacted to the prospect of sticky inflation potentially complicating the Federal Reserve’s policy path. Despite the spike, markets still see a 92% chance of a September rate cut,” a K33 Research report highlighted on Friday.

Bitcoin and Ethereum, the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalisation, continue to receive institutional attention, reflected by steady spot ETF inflows.

Despite the sell-off on Thursday, Ethereum spot ETFs in the US saw inflows totaling $634 million, slightly lower than Wednesday’s $729 million. Ethereum’s recovery over the last few weeks has kept speculative demand elevated, bringing the cumulative total inflow around $12.7 billion and net assets to $29.2 billion, according to SoSoValue data.

On the other hand, Bitcoin spot ETFs are in the green, albeit with lower volumes compared to the run-up to the previous all-time high of $123,218 reached on July 14. On Thursday, BTC spot ETFs in the US saw approximately $231 million in inflows, bringing the cumulative inflow near $55 billion and the total net assets to $153 billion.

Bitcoin attempts to secure support above the $119,000 level following the correction from the new record high of $124,474. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $118,800 on the 4-hour chart backs the short-term recovery.

A consolidation period may occur between the lower support of $116,380 provided by the 200-period EMA and the $120,000 level, if the Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to move broadly sideways around the midline.

Still, traders should be aware of the bearish bias highlighted by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, which is currently maintaining a sell signal. Until the blue MACD line flips above the red signal line, a strong recovery above $120,000 might remain a pipe dream in the near term.

Ethereum holds above $4,600 as bulls look forward to a breakout to its record high of around $4,878 reached in November 2021. With the RSI holding in overbought territory and looking up, the path of least resistance could remain upward in upcoming sessions.

The MACD indicator highlights a buy signal confirmed on August 9, when the blue line crossed and settled above the red signal line. This is a bullish outlook encouraging investors to increase exposure, anticipating the price of ETH to extend the uptrend.

As for XRP, bears remain largely in control despite the upswing from support tested on Thursday at $3.00. The bearish outlook mirrors a MACD indicator sell signal that has been active since July 25.

If investors continue de-risking, XRP could extend the decline below the short-term support at $3.00 toward the 50-day EMA at $2.92, the 100-day EMA at $2.70 and the 200-day EMA at $2.42.

Still, XRP could regain bullish momentum and rally toward the record high of $3.66, backed by a positive futures weighted funding rate as shown by CoinGlass derivatives data. Positive and growing funding rates indicate that traders are increasingly leveraging long positions in XRP amid renewed risk-on sentiment.

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