Despite the $100K breakdown of Bitcoin, BTC’s structure and sentiment setup still lean bullish as long as the $98K support holds.
Bitcoin spent the last week moving sideways, and the latest sentiment data from Santiment suggests the market has slipped to a clear “fear zone.” While prices did not experience major swings, the emotional tone across traders changed sharply, with rising anxiety and frustration appearing in both social and on-chain indicators.
According to a recent Crypto News Flash (CNF) report on Bitcoin’s “Red October,” the analysis suggested that the weakness spilled into November and specificly predicted that BTC would drop below $100K. Indeed, Santiment’s latest readings show that social sentiment for Bitcoin turned decisively negative between November 6 and November 14, 2025.
Santiment described this combination as historically meaningful, saying it often represents a moment when “a bottom begins to form,” because retail crowds tend to become most bearish right before price recoveries. More specifically, several sentiment data points from Santiment support this “fear zone” thesis for Bitcoin.
On November 12, 2025, Santiment noted a significant increase in social volume combined with a negative sentiment balance, which it described as “a good combination for a bottom to form.
Until to this date, one of the clearest signals came on November 12, when the platform recorded a sharp rise in social volume paired with a heavily negative sentiment balance.
Even with Bitcoin slipping from the $100K region, the broader outlook remains constructively bullish, especially when viewed through Santiment’s extreme fear data. Historically, periods where social sentiment turns sharply negative — like the “fear zone” detected between November 6 and 14 — tend to coinciding with capitulation-style moments. These phases often flush out short-term holders while long-term investors and institutions accumulate at more favorable prices.
In other words, the same extreme fear highlighted by Santiment has repeatedly acted as a launch pad rather than a breakdown trigger. This aligns with Bitcoin holding above $100K for 188 consecutive days, even as traders grew more of pessimistic. Such a decoupling — strong price, weak sentiment — is typically seen in the late stages of corrections that precede renewed upside of momentum.
However, being cautious is still important here. Because, if Bitcoin loses the key $98,000 support, short-term bearish risks do rise. A decisive failure there could open a path toward the $70,000-$75,000 zone over the next several months, especially if negative sentiment intensifies alongside increased whale distribution or renewed macro shocks.
But based on current structured indicators — and the fact that sentiment has deteriorated far more than sharply than price — the probability still leans bullish. Extreme fear has historically rewarded patience, not panic, and the present setup fits that pattern closely.
Read more on Crypto News Flash
