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Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Rely on STH Realized Price Support Cluster: Loss Could Trigger $100K Retest
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Bitcoin Bulls Rely on STH Realized Price Support Cluster: Loss Could Trigger $100K Retest

Last updated: October 18, 2025 8:50 am
Published: 5 months ago
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Bitcoin is once again under heavy pressure, sliding toward the $103,000 level as the broader crypto market undergoes a sharp downturn. After days of volatility and failed recovery attempts, BTC has lost key support, triggering renewed fear and accelerating sell-offs across altcoins. Most major assets are showing deep losses, with traders and investors now questioning whether the market has entered a deeper corrective phase.

According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s main support zone lies between $106,000 and $107,000, a range defined by the Short-Term Holder (STH) 1M-3M Realized Price and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA 200D). This critical area represents a confluence of both on-chain and technical support levels where previous corrections have historically found equilibrium.

However, the current momentum shows mounting weakness. As panic spreads and liquidity dries up, all eyes are now on the $106K-107K range — a decisive battleground that could define Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory and set the tone for the rest of the crypto market.

Adler highlights that a loss of the $106K level would likely trigger a move toward $100,000, where the yearly moving average (SMA 365D) currently aligns — a level that has historically acted as a springboard for major reversals during previous market cycles.

Despite the growing fear, Adler notes that the macro structure remains bullish as long as the $100K base holds. This region represents long-term buyer interest, and defending it could reset overheated leverage and pave the way for a more stable recovery. However, Bitcoin is already trading below the $106K mark, raising concerns that the market could be preparing for a deeper test of this critical floor.

Analysts across the space are now closely watching the daily candle closes, which will determine whether the move below support is merely a liquidity sweep or confirmation of a bearish continuation. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $107K level soon, a broader shift in sentiment could unfold — one that may prolong the consolidation phase and test investor conviction.

In contrast, a strong rebound from the $100K zone would reinforce the argument that the correction is part of a healthy reset within an ongoing bull market. The coming days will therefore be decisive: either Bitcoin holds this base and rebuilds momentum, or it breaks lower, signaling that the current cycle’s most aggressive phase of volatility is far from over.

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