Autonomous Trucks Market by LoA (L1, L2/ L3, L4 & L5), Vehicle Type, Propulsion (Diesel, Electric, Hybrid), ADAS Features, Vehicle Class, Application, Sensor Type and Region – Global Forecast to 2035
The autonomous trucks market size is projected to grow from USD 40.7 Billion in 2024 to USD 179.9 Billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 14.4%. The increasing demand for electric and autonomous vehicle and government regulation regarding safety is expected to increase the demand for autonomous trucks. Additionally, continuos innovation in advance driving technologies and components will boost the demand for autonomous trucks.
LiDAR segment is estimated to exhibit the fastest growth in autonomous trucks market
Laser imaging detection and ranging (LiDAR) technology employs laser beams to measure the distance from an object, operating on a principle similar to radar sensors. LiDAR sensors find application in systems such as adaptive cruise control, collision avoidance, and night vision. Unlike radar, LiDAR utilizes shorter wavelengths, enabling effective detection of nonmetallic objects and those with weaker reflections. Its angular resolution is precise, achieving sub-degree accuracy both horizontally and vertically, owing to its utilization of short wavelengths and pulses. This characteristic renders LiDAR well-suited for high-resolution 3D environment mapping, facilitating accurate detection of free spaces, boundaries, and vehicle localization. Consequently, LiDAR plays a pivotal role in achieving L3 and higher autonomy levels.
Innovative LiDAR technologies such as solid-state LIDAR, MEMS LIDAR, and electronically scanning LIDAR have emerged in recent years.
These advancements aim to enhance the suitability of LIDAR for automotive applications in terms of size, cost, and robustness. While these technologies present improvements over traditional mechanical rotating LiDAR, further maturation is required to align with the maturity level of other ADAS sensors. The increasing traffic congestion, growing demand for roadways and vehicle safety systems, and the rising preference for semi-autonomous and autonomous vehicles drive the demand for LiDAR system sensors.
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Shuttle segment is estimated to exhibit the fastest growth in Autonomous trucks market
The shuttles segment is expected to be the fastest market in the autonomous trucks market, as they are commercialized. Navya (US), Easilmile (France), and Local Motors (US) have developed self-driving shuttles. Successful pilot programs of autonomous shuttles worldwide indicate that shuttles could be a practical solution to the gaps in traditional public transport. In January 2023, EasyMile(France) partnered with Keolis (France) on an autonomous shuttle project underway at France’s National Sports Shooting. Such partnerships highlight the growth of the shuttles segment in the market.
US to lead the Autonomous trucks market in North America
The US is expected to have the largest market share in terms of value in the North American autonomous trucks market due to strict safety regulations imposed by the NHTSA that have compelled OEMs to provide safety features. Road safety is very critical for efficient transportation. Autonomous trucks can help to improve safety, which, in turn, would boost the market in the region. Major OEMs in the region are forming supply contracts for products like sensors, LiDAR that would further enhance their vehicles performance. For instance, in January 2024, Daimler Truck AG (Germany) and TORC Robotics (US) selected Aeva Technologies (US) to Supply advanced 4D LiDAR technology for series-production of autonomous trucks.
Key Players
The Autonomous trucks market is dominated by global players such as Daimler Truck AG (Germany), AB Volvo (Sweden), Iveco S.p.A. (Netherlands), NVIDIA Corporation (US), Robert Bosch GmbH (Germany), Continental AG (Germany), among others. These companies adopted new product development strategies, expansion, partnerships & collaborations, and mergers & acquisitions to gain traction in the market.
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