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Reading: Apple: Setting Up For An Earnings Surprise (NASDAQ:AAPL)
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Market Analysis

Apple: Setting Up For An Earnings Surprise (NASDAQ:AAPL)

Last updated: January 15, 2026 7:50 pm
Published: 4 weeks ago
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Valuation risks persist with high EV/EBITDA (24.6x) and forward PEG; 10% EPS growth is needed to justify premium multiples or risk share price declines and multiple compression.

When I last covered Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) on September 3rd, 2025 (with a “buy” rating) in my article “Apple: It’s Time To Buy,” the stock was starting to break resistance levels formed during the

The Income Machine is driven by market analysis from strategies covering more than two decades of trading experience successfully navigating through a broad range of asset classes.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of META, AAPL either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

The rating is based on resilient gross margins, strong free cash flow yield, capital efficiency, and a technical setup suggesting limited further downside, positioning AAPL for outperformance in 2026.

AAPL’s elevated EV/EBITDA (24.6x) and forward PEG require at least 10% EPS growth in the next report; failure to deliver could trigger multiple compression.

AAPL’s free cash flow yield (2.54%) outpaces Microsoft, and its low capex intensity enables sustained buybacks and EPS durability, supporting share price even with modest growth.

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