XRP is approaching a critical technical junction as analysts warn its tight consolidation range may soon break, potentially triggering a sharp downside move.
According to crypto trader Umair Crypto, XRP has been “building a tight range” between $1.90 and $2.08.
He describes the zone as the make-or-break area for the token.
Daily chart shows death cross risk
Umair noted on X on Nov. 24 that maintaining price action within the range of $1.90 and $2.08 would give XRP the “month-long consolidation needed for a real base.”
However, a failure to hold the range could expose XRP to a deeper correction.
Umair also warned that XRP is about to print a “death cross” on the daily chart.
“The last time XRP printed this setup, it bled ~15%, which lines up almost perfectly with a move into the $1.50s again. Same ingredients, same possible outcome,” Umair said.
A death cross refers to a bearish pattern where the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average.
Death crosses are typically interpreted as momentum-shifting events that reinforce bearish sentiment, especially when they occur during a period of weak trading volume or indecision.
The key level: $1.82
Umair described $1.82 as the decisive threshold that would determine whether XRP holds its structure or breaks lower.
“If XRP briefly wicks below $1.82 but snaps back inside the range, that can mark the bottom,” he wrote. “But if it closes under there, the range loses integrity and the freefall begins.”
This “freefall” scenario aligns with a broader bearish narrative forming across multiple altcoins as Bitcoin and Ether exhibit signs of cooling momentum.
XRP jumped as much as 5% to hit $2.2551 on Nov. 25, after the launch of two exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on NYSE Arca a day earlier, namely Franklin Templeton’s XRP ETF (XRPZ) and Grayscale XRP Trust ETF (GXRP).
