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Reading: Analyst: If the Fed Holds Rates Steady in Q1 2026, Bitcoin Could Fall to $70,000 – Lookonchain – Looking for smartmoney onchain
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DeFi

Analyst: If the Fed Holds Rates Steady in Q1 2026, Bitcoin Could Fall to $70,000 – Lookonchain – Looking for smartmoney onchain

Last updated: December 25, 2025 9:25 pm
Published: 4 months ago
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Cointelegraph reported on December 25 that Jeff Mei, Chief Operating Officer of BTSE, outlined two key scenarios for Bitcoin and Ethereum in Q1 2026 tied to Federal Reserve policy: – **If the Fed holds interest rates steady**: Bitcoin could dip to $70,000, while Ethereum may fall to $2,400. – **If Reserve Management Purchases (RMPs) continue**: The liquidity injection would support risk assets, pushing Bitcoin to $92,000-$98,000. Ethereum could rise to $3,600, driven by Layer 2 scaling upgrades and growing DeFi appeal — with over $50 billion in ETF inflows and institutional accumulation further boosting the market. Notably, the Fed ended quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1 and launched RMPs, buying ~$40 billion in short-term Treasuries monthly — an move some analysts call “stealth quantitative easing (QE).”

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