Altcoin Season is not just a fancy word, it’s an event every crypto fan waits for with all their heart. AltSeason is basically a period when all altcoins value other than Bitcoin, increases tremendously. The event happens when the Bitcoin dominance reduces and the altcoin gains a larger market share. This is the time when large investors, often called whales, shift their money toward altcoins.
In 2025, every crypto enthusiast is eagerly waiting for the next Altcoin Season. However, Bitcoin dominance is still above 64%, showing no sign of the next altcoin season.
As the Bitcoin price reaches new highs of over $110,000 and its market share nears its highest point since 2021, investors and analysts alike are asking the same question: “What happened to the altcoin season?” More to the point, would one catalyst be enough to turn the tide of Bitcoin dominance and bring about the long-awaited altcoin season?
The story of Altcoin Season begins when altcoins perform better than Bitcoin, and has been a persistent but unfulfilled one this year. Even though there have been many forecasts, the altcoin boom has either failed to occur or has been short-lived. The explanation is obvious: Bitcoin still gathers the largest amount of capital, particularly institutional investors who want to find a safe haven in the conditions of global economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Moreover, according to Burrakesmeci’s June 18 analysis on CryptoQuant, “While Bitcoin hovers around $104K, altcoins are still falling short of expectations. This is exactly what the “1-Year Cumulative Buy/Sell Quote Volume Difference for Altcoins (Excluding BTC & ETH)” confirms.” He added, “Back in December 2024, the metric flipped positive, signaling a local top for altcoins. Since then? It’s been downhill.”
Burrakesmeci highlights that the metric sits at -$36 billion, which means investors are pulling money out of altcoins. The market share of Bitcoin has been oscillating around 64%, and the asset’s value has reached new all-time highs. This dominance is supported by a number of factors:
In the meantime, the Altcoin Season Index is stuck in the low zone, and the overall inflow of funds into altcoins is negative: over the last year, investors withdrew 36 billion dollars more out of altcoins than they invested in them. This risk-off mood has kept altcoin investors on the sidelines and waiting for a clear indication to re-enter.
Nevertheless, although the Altcoin Season is currently in stalemate, experts believe that it is not over but rather delayed. The most important trigger that may eventually topple the domination of Bitcoin and launch an altcoin boom is a change in global liquidity, namely a reduction in interest rates by the U.S. Federal Reserve and other leading central banks.
Liquidity is the key to cryptocurrencies. When central banks reduce interest rates or print new money into the financial system, it makes it cheaper and easier to borrow and invest in riskier assets such as altcoins. In the past, the biggest altcoin rallies have occurred after a monetary easing period, when the market is flooded with cheap money.
Today, the Federal Reserve has maintained its rates at 4.25% to 4.50% due to the continued inflation fears. This restrictive monetary policy has left the crypto market deprived of the liquidity that is required to fuel a widespread altcoin rally. According to experts, it is only when the Fed shifts to rate reductions and global liquidity increases that capital will start to spin out of Bitcoin and into more risky, more rewarding altcoins.
Although the leadership of Bitcoin appears to be indestructible at the moment, the history of crypto markets demonstrates that they are cyclical. The capital rotation into altcoins may be rapid and dramatic as soon as a significant driver of liquidity is released, such as a Fed rate cut.
According to some analysts, this change may happen as late as the end of 2025, others warn that it may take until 2026 before macro and regulatory conditions improve. Altcoin investors are on hold at the moment. However, according to one expert, the longer it coils, the more violent the breakout will be. Once the catalyst arrives, the next altcoin season may go down in history.
