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Government Policies

Abiy’s Dangerous Illusions and the Collapse of Ethiopia

Last updated: October 29, 2025 2:50 am
Published: 6 months ago
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Editor’s Note : Views in the article do not necessarily reflect the views of borkena.com

By – Habte H.

Ethiopia stands at its most precarious moment. While its people endure profound hardship, Abiy Ahmed touts 2030 and 2036 blueprints promising an African powerhouse with soaring GDP and universal prosperity. This is not bold ambition but fantasy-willfully blind to a nation sliding into chaos. Promises of megaprojects and social harmony ring hollow amid war, displacement, inflation, and shrinking civic space. It is triumphal storytelling as the state’s fabric frays openly.

The Rift Between Vision and Reality

To understand the depth of Abiy’s delusion, one must look past the podium and into the lives of ordinary Ethiopians. The country is not merely struggling; it is haemorrhaging. Millions of citizens, displaced by conflicts ignited and exacerbated by Abiy’s regime, languish in makeshift camps that are a cruel mockery of the word “home.” The wounds of Tigray are still fresh; Oromia remains a volatile battlefield; and Amhara is gripped by fear and violence. These are not abstract conflicts but human tragedies-fathers shielding their children from drones, mothers rationing what little food they have.

Abiy’s delusion ignores three collapsing pillars. A security vacuum grips citizens with dread, not ambition. An economic collapse makes food a luxury and despair a daily reality. Meanwhile, his leadership remains insulated from the suffering, residing in a bubble of platitudes while the nation he leads crumbles.

The statistics are a chilling testament to this suffering:

* Over 4 million internally displaced persons, a number that grows daily.

* 20 million Ethiopians facing acute hunger this year alone, according to the World Food Programme.

* Tens of millions more living under the constant shadow of food insecurity, ethnic violence, and a collapsing state.

A Legacy of Ruin, Not Renaissance

History’s verdict is being written not in press releases, but in the ledgers of loss. The death toll from the civil war is estimated in the hundreds of thousands. Corruption is rampant, with billions siphoned away into the pockets of oligarchs and cronies. The government’s focus on trivial ceremonies and ghost projects reveals a leadership blind to the existential threats it has unleashed.

If this delusional path continues, the outcome is not mere deterioration, but disintegration. Ethiopia risks fracturing along the very ethnic fault lines the government’s policies have inflamed. The economy, eviscerated by conflict and corruption, will not rebound but rot. A generation of youth, the nation’s greatest hope, is fleeing, creating a catastrophic brain drain.

The Imperative of Reality

Yet, within this darkness, the resilience of the Ethiopian people endures. From Mekelle to Wollo, the whispers of resistance are growing into a unified roar. The fantasy of 2030 is not a blueprint for the future; it is an epitaph for a nation being betrayed.

The demand is simple: we need leaders who see the suffering, who smell the despair, and who are anchored in the brutal reality of today. The fire of Ethiopia’s forebears has not been extinguished. Salvation lies not in Abiy’s mirage, but in a clear-eyed return to unity, accountability, and peace. The hour is late, but the nation’s will to survive is eternal.

Editor’s Note : Views in the article do not necessarily reflect the views of borkena.com

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